> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.omnera.trade/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# Prediction Markets

> Take positions on real-world and crypto-native outcomes through Omnera's prediction market integration.

# Prediction Markets

## Overview

Omnera integrates prediction market execution into the same discovery surface as spot and perpetual futures trading. When the behavioral engine identifies that a trader's profile shows affinity for event-driven positioning — elections, protocol upgrades, token launches, macroeconomic decisions — prediction market opportunities are surfaced alongside traditional trading signals.

## How It Works

Prediction markets allow traders to take positions on the outcome of future events. Each market resolves to a binary or multi-outcome result, and shares are priced between 0 and 1 (representing the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring).

**Example:** A market on whether ETH will exceed \$5,000 by a specific date. Shares for "Yes" trading at 0.35 imply a 35% market-consensus probability. If the outcome resolves to "Yes," each share pays 1.00. If "No," each share pays 0.00.

## Execution

Prediction market orders are routed through the same execution router as spot and perps trades. The trader selects an outcome, sets a position size, and confirms. The router handles venue selection and order construction.

| Parameter | Description                                                     |
| --------- | --------------------------------------------------------------- |
| Outcome   | The specific outcome being purchased (e.g., "Yes" or "No")      |
| Size      | Number of shares or dollar amount to allocate                   |
| Price     | Current market price (0-1) representing implied probability     |
| Max cost  | Maximum amount the trader is willing to pay, including slippage |

## Resolution

Prediction markets resolve based on the rules defined by the underlying protocol. Resolution is typically oracle-based or governance-based, depending on the venue. Once resolved:

* Winning shares pay out at 1.00 per share
* Losing shares pay out at 0.00
* Payouts are settled on-chain

Omnera does not control resolution. The resolution mechanism, dispute process, and settlement timing are determined by the prediction market protocol.

## Discovery Integration

Prediction markets are not siloed into a separate section of the feed. They appear alongside spot and perps opportunities, ranked by the same behavioral relevance model. A trader whose profile indicates interest in macro events will see prediction markets surfaced naturally within their feed. A trader with no history of prediction market interaction will see them less prominently.

This integration reflects Omnera's core principle: the feed should present the best opportunity for each individual trader, regardless of the instrument type.

<Note>
  Prediction market availability depends on the underlying protocols integrated at any given time. Not all events or outcomes may be available. Market liquidity varies by event and proximity to resolution.
</Note>